School of Population Health

Trends in non-communicable disease risk factors and premature mortality in Pacific Island countries and predictive modelling of effects of inaction and control interventions

Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are a major cause of illness and premature adult mortality (diseas burden) in many Pacific Island Countries (PICs). This research relates to trends over time in NCD risk factors in PICs from available data and trends in NCD premature mortality and effects on life expectancy. Implications for future NCD morbidity/mortality from various NCD control interventions or lack of action will be estimated using predictive statistical modelling of time trends in NCD risk factors and mortality. This will enable countries and donors to better allocate funds for NCD control and provide estimates of the consequences of intervetntion or action.

Project Members
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Emeritus Professor
Ph (612) 9385 2595
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International Public Health
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Adjunct Senior Lecturer
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Senior Lecturer
Ph 02 9385 8683
Project Supporters

Australian Development Research Award Scheme (ADRAS) AusAid 66886

Project Collaborators: External

Dianna Magliano
Baker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute

Isimeli Tukana
Ministry of Health Fiji

Jonathan Shaw
Baker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute

Paul Zimmet
Baker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute

Sione Hufanga
Ministry of Health Tonga